新手上路
版主
- 积分
- 10
- 获赠鲜花
- 2 朵
- 个人财富
- 100 金币
- 注册时间
- 2006-3-26
|
友情提示: 请千万不要登入陌生网站输入QQ号和密码,以防诈骗。
联系我时,请说明是从哪儿看到的,谢谢。
虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。* R% U5 v, l) @% I; n1 c7 @) j y$ ^
- C4 H& |1 K: _% @ \8 J) b
GM Overview
3 H# p7 Q: c5 w* n) ^0 f% k• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs
5 h3 d, T( V2 U; X3 p• Objectives
. o7 v# D% j I/ x3 K6 `; I- C– What do we “WANT” to do?
5 J( s6 P) F0 `. }3 V! T2 d• External Analysis" L% d( r% i* B! V) X+ |
– What do we “NEED” to do?: z6 R) P% T& L& E
– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade
5 X! N2 b. s9 K3 }& _• opportunities & threats
1 J( r% i- w$ L6 S; S– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs
7 \7 Q0 @) w2 s: Z5 z* W• Internal Analysis
! a7 X4 Z' B8 f- |) b– What “CAN” we do?2 w5 }- E/ k- r; b2 c# S
– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
`, R% E8 ]( O% P- @% x/ u& B7 ?• abilities, strengths & weaknesses
7 Q6 |( w+ o# m: F– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES
5 w/ |+ ?- K6 L$ F
$ V% r9 u* g0 a; v. p• Alternative Evaluation
$ t6 X1 t' k' E9 V6 v– What are the options?
/ }: a; r7 t, B, H, q- x0 ~– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
/ Y$ o# {9 A8 B- t. c– How does this option “FIT”?/ L5 F% |% U; I% ?8 [3 h
– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)
7 b" Z" y% {; p) t! `( o– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”)
7 Y4 W5 l2 L7 T/ Z) w
9 m0 t3 J0 t; j, I• Decision
' c$ p5 m1 [- c' ^+ ?2 {; v– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).7 i; `3 _+ R) V0 q7 I
– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING( ^* Y$ v3 R9 \# x4 T
• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?3 _3 d6 b4 v! v1 g/ o7 _2 u
• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?" a. Z; i: Z9 K) N9 S
• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?5 r2 N8 F2 r* }( ]
• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)
5 d* o+ a+ P h# P* w• Why NOT the other options?' m/ V5 o* J: ~3 M; q6 O2 i- z
• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes
% `, T6 f7 V5 r4 o+ {( Wneed to be made?
. ` Z) y+ X. a0 d7 J" F2 J
( o i' k& z6 a& p• Action Plan
4 t; C4 o% u% v• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;
' B5 v, Z( Y V) {% f– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your5 J8 s: k0 l: T1 p: u s% p- z+ d7 T
decision9 I/ X' X! D7 A2 n5 }
– details about timing
- i: f/ z1 X% f* |. U1 c5 ~– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’7 r/ e$ r& f1 R- u4 A
– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)$ \: y, n/ c/ U8 ^1 X" [( |
– make sure to consider both the short term and long term( b7 P( P) T, m5 U: t, b9 \2 r7 f
* v: M$ ?8 a1 [7 {
Firm Valuation
: V7 W* M& _, F• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.
$ C g: \: v" v7 y2 W• 3 methods of valuing a firm;. S& ?5 J- w+ P4 ~0 A3 S% q/ e
– Net Book Value: Q* V; B5 T0 F3 {0 H1 C' D
– Economic Appraisal
8 H& v& U Y' c0 f) Z) Q– Capitalization of Earnings
) a* \; c( Z* }. M9 J6 \# x% v• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the
' C7 a$ x" y& K0 ]* @company is worth.7 Q; P6 G+ s, ~- v4 [# `& r/ N
• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???
2 b( p) W1 P/ A, q
/ o1 a+ ?6 V) g0 F( U Net Book Value (NBV); i1 z: x/ D) H- Y
– Total Assets - Total Liabilities$ a7 w: |( ?$ m) U" ?: {6 {
• a.k.a.. the equity+ s- {5 }4 z( s4 t+ L% v0 u
– Does not account for the present market value of the assets
! p- u9 B' z" p/ u: L) w– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet
! c1 Z8 W* X5 \9 S; I" l* Q# z– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business
* D3 P) D1 ]+ r4 q! O' t$ A% T5 T0 q
% F. d& n3 K \+ ]9 I, F; Z Economic Appraisal (EA)
# i5 b( w+ A* s. `4 i– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets
8 E3 E! M; ~$ H% E8 t9 _; w/ m S– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities
1 P3 P( `- Q1 {1 k/ o9 [' j: P' w1 s– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets
- n! ?* @$ j7 U* J# }2 @/ o! j3 e5 ~! j7 J: H+ L
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)
# I% l$ N) y0 A. s8 ^– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S
! A7 U2 j( s1 {2 \• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.
; J6 }8 w8 F# J" i: V* r– NPAT * P/E ratio = value, B& p7 Y* k- e: l" e
– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)( P7 E( O. o0 G& Y/ y
• Assuming changes (projected statement), Y0 J, }5 p$ |$ c8 I# h
• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)
! H, d- x$ _! r( {8 c– Select a reasonable P/E multiple; a& x9 I, D7 s7 g9 ]
– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)( {; x/ H A: i( L$ ^1 v+ C8 X
$ P, p7 ~2 l0 {6 w7 l: m( Q3 H
• P/E Multiple& F& \1 y0 J3 m- {
– Rules of thumb;
4 s7 d: @9 b. c• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples
) T3 ~9 o9 Y i9 Q* Mfrom 5 to 15.+ y. K9 ], N% \, x4 h1 t; f* R" ^
• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.' B+ p' [9 |, M- C( V, D" R( p
• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”: {* X+ Y- R: u. P( X; [
– growth increases a multiple
. n$ o8 B0 }, B– risk decreases a multiple
7 m2 ~+ {3 K0 N, \
! q3 g2 U! V: ^9 D! u3 JTheir Associated Ratios
0 a: F# i& V, \' T- F+ w0 ~• Profitability;& L: Z/ A4 k# ~: z, s
– Business goal - to make $$7 M3 n# E/ L) z9 |2 Q7 y2 n
– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales3 D5 B& v: t8 N! V; u1 j( f* ~; k
• Stability;' D' T) Y, ^ `
– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)
8 a C2 P7 d: u) P/ Q# u3 w# Q– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts
2 i/ W/ ]' s- T% c- L" d7 t) w' m7 c/ A; ?6 }) `) @) h, b
5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios
$ a4 K0 J; B. h$ p • Liquidity;6 D5 P6 f$ f' k( N& G% e) s" I
– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations
p. F {, [5 C1 C7 v, F– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm
7 T: G2 a( Z. M/ Xobligations)
3 ^2 C9 M" ^7 S! O5 N( L• Efficiency;
2 U9 G% Z" }& _/ S; V' u) w7 f2 n– Business goal - to efficiently use assets) z( e- A6 e. d5 ~
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments; |$ d, Q. d2 h+ Q2 y
6 A9 k1 O( v& W8 q
• Growth;3 Z! p+ @* r6 S# U& l/ r
– Business goal - to increase in size5 M/ q- n* ?+ g' y+ o
– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth* l. g1 n0 C3 {
7 b- l# B" L0 e' y; y* F5 UInterpreting the Ratios* ~( k: z* _. N8 e
• Profitability;: O0 e8 q8 |2 H' t
– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)9 X5 |6 h6 n/ y, g/ Z+ R4 \
I/S items * 100 = %
2 G% B' R) V* a) c. C% y Sales
* P: H k1 k O( {8 C• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales
* y7 V' G5 t, L7 Y: @– Return on Investment/Equity! D6 t! M1 f& C' z$ T
Profit ATB4D = %
, F8 V1 i% }' ]+ hAverage Equity: d: f+ r3 [! `( I) O! T4 L
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]
; e8 z$ [ h# ?4 j, R' D2 K% ~- p• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners
0 Z4 a0 @2 W! ^1 _3 G7 V6 F7 k9 h5 x2 n( r9 D' Q; V
• Stability;% P7 z1 ^6 |) B" R
– Net Worth: Total Assets$ w7 Y: I( T$ B( R& F1 I) E6 e
Total Equity = %
# j$ ~& T: E$ cTotal Assets
, @* B/ @0 J, m- Q S! { e; \( I: p• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money5 ` E( U1 H% u4 X A b4 E* S
– Debt to Assets1 u. ]" o+ I7 s" j9 D
Total Debt = %
( R& G( n& |/ W4 oTotal Assets
6 r$ R |& m+ f$ Q• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt5 p1 U; Z) G8 J' e
– Interest Coverage/ |' Q# [2 j& o
EBIT = # times& j6 B; {) y9 Z+ D/ k# n
Interest Expense; u4 A8 c Q! u3 w L4 U/ y
• tells us how many times we can pay interest
0 Y/ R) t, I: p# ^, d
" F$ b8 K; @ L; H- v• Liquidity;% [# Y6 h7 Y, e6 t# ]# e% m
– Current Ratio6 e) _: u& R4 n0 p9 E/ c0 m& H
Current Assets = X:1
K& M0 E. X' T. uCurrent Liabilities
9 K: v2 S& g2 B' w8 j4 Y9 u( p8 J• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts5 O- o1 j& F/ h, i) k5 H6 a. d D- O
RULE OF THUMB: 2:1
! u/ Y5 A6 }* R' R: Z" R% p7 R– Acid Test
. f0 R9 D T! S2 ?Cash + M/S + A/R = X:1
) ?! A$ u; U8 {' ^+ s% v5 i# p( cCurrent Liabilities
9 p: g2 W* V; a4 g/ R• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us
2 A7 C# j, k1 w, m0 x$ QRULE OF THUMB: 1:1+ h" g* D; ~+ y" t- V: R
3 L- J9 P, Y: ]) {* B( h– Working Capital
% o% \. H% P: N. R" OC.A - C.L = $X
' I3 q! X+ I3 c8 m4 k1 T• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid
2 O5 W8 H! u" P2 S8 I2 ]/ \; W8 {& W( F% t) y* I
Efficiency;
0 i) T6 g* D' K# p( A– Age of Receivables
- s( s# d3 c8 `' m6 ^+ T4 }$ tAccounts Receivabl = # Days
, J4 F, B) D9 i- L (Sales / 365)
5 |. [' c2 {" a7 B7 Q) d6 B! B4 N• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$
* K% q. I& d. l3 ?
1 L8 \1 b' V* P+ d8 s– Age Of Payables
% B" j: }8 Z, z6 ZAccounts Payable = # Days
' B3 O$ d4 d1 ?8 L5 o0 {(Purchases* / 365)- P# L0 w+ I1 M2 ?3 j% y
• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills! @/ g0 {4 \3 D# Y4 t* I/ a, v
* b; Z& f: p2 Y6 o) o6 |– Age of Inventory
7 w9 E3 v ]9 o: f W Inventory = # Days7 r& y+ a1 v; |; D
(COGS / 365)1 z+ l# U6 k" w' S8 b3 L3 X$ K
• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse
. L! C3 Q' j3 l1 M: S. ?# E- A; [0 C7 |, B+ E' o0 n8 F& ?
• Growth;& K! R" N7 T! C9 D* a. m
– Sales
: s6 G5 Q9 n5 o* [– Net Income& B1 ^: |. ~% P" _; r5 Y. Z
– Total Assets E# ^8 C, j5 V5 o
– Equity
9 G2 J1 o5 Q$ \+ R" ]Yr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %9 m Q/ ~0 q# Q, F4 l0 u
Yr. 1/ P) t7 w3 ^! q; B8 K
• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)3 e0 @; F5 ?, O
2 Q/ G& a2 [) T8 I! S+ D
Understanding Ratios
; R( L8 h% E$ l• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”
) h: S; K0 T: @/ X+ R' Y• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio' m ]% d2 u- _5 \4 Y
• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”- d( m; L! |# L% ?3 O
– Which number caused the change?
9 T3 c9 p, R2 @ L– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.: W! o' y: V& j/ h( S
– Will these trends continue?
+ m/ v" d6 p% ?- m2 |: v. ?, n– How does the company compare to the industry?5 _% y& u7 F6 Q
$ I* D# U) ]$ V0 @) w2 u
6 k" ~- V+ F; T# KClassifying Costs
/ B. h p* K( i" j• Variable Costs
. e2 o8 v3 @8 ~* o l– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)
8 P! i; H7 [* B9 ^2 v/ _! _• Fixed Costs: w2 H+ q6 V6 }
– cost that does not vary with volume |
|